The Commercial Investing Show

Welcome to today’s episode of The Creating Wealth Show where Jason Hartman reminds you that there is an important distinction to make between interest rates, housing affordability and the ability to qualify for a loan based on the usual things, such as credit score and debt-to-income ratio. There's a general overriding concept of credit availability, not directly related to interest rates: this is the willingness of lenders to lend and the ability of borrowers to borrow, measured by the Mortgage Credit Availability Index (MCAI). The credit supply is down, meaning it is now harder to get a mortgage than it used to be.

Jason Hartman welcomes Patrick Ceresna, Founder of Big Picture Trading and host of the MacroVoices Podcast to the show to talk about the current macroeconomic picture we are facing today. Patrick explains why our inflation problems are not going away anytime soon. The only mechanism which the central banks have to slow an economy is the cost of credit, reflected in interest rate policy. However, the problem in this cycle is that when the inflation is not driven by massive demand, but rather supply issues, then the ability for monetary policy to actually have an impact diminishes.

We are in the midst of a bear market on asset prices which may not have fully reflected into the real estate markets yet, but in terms of stock markets, bond markets, even slowly into commodities and other things, there has been a deflationary cycle in assets, while there's huge economic inflation because the central banks have begun a very important process of trying to attack inflation by slowing the economy. The only mechanism which the central banks have to slow an economy is the cost of credit, reflected in interest rate policy.

However, the problem in this cycle, and why you have the debate of inflation, stagflation, or deflation is that when the inflation is not driven by massive demand, but rather supply issues, then the ability for monetary policy to actually have an impact diminishes.

We’ve created all sorts of supply shocks that add further stress points that create additional cost delays and shipping and all sorts of other issues that are not going away. And it's not going to be solved by the Fed increasing another 75 basis points next month. This is a problem where inflation has to be solved by a bigger cycle playing out. And that, unfortunately, is not one that ends in three months. It's a problem that resolves over a couple years. Inflation is an issue that's not going away anytime soon.

Key Takeaways:

0:45 Welcome Empowered Investors from 189 countries world wide

1:31 Mortgage Credit Availability Index (MCAI)

2:38 The Great Recession, the mortgage meltdown and The Big Short

4:39 Credit supply in a credit based economy

6:11 Empowered Investor Pro - EmpoweredInvestor.com

8:25 Wall Street is the modern version of organized crime

9:35 Regulating the food supply

10:59 Messaging apps and insider trading

14:08 Last week, the Euro reached parity with the dollar

17:31 Downward pressure on the inflationary spiral

18:38 Why Dave Ramsey is wrong

21:03 Today’s guest PATRICK CERESNA, Founder of Big Picture Trading

21:51 Patrick’s current macroeconomic picture

23:58 Energy shortage - oil vs green

27:28 CPI inflation numbers could come down, but it’s no merit of the Fed

29:06 The 70s had three waves of inflation

30:55 The global pandemic was a unique event

33:41 What investments do you own in an environment like this?

37:52 Could derivatives crash the global economy?

40:58 There a global system risk, not just American

43:26 We are in a fourth turning and there will be some major financial institution reset eventually

45:37 The destruction of purchasing value is the driver of a monetary driven inflation

47:03 The US dollar rising right now is going to keep inflation in check

49:27 At the end of every bear market is a once a decade opportunity to buy a lot of cheap stuff

51:13 A good investor or trader knows when to leave a party and go to a new one

53:11 Learn more at BigPictureTrading.com and check out Patrick’s podcasts: MacroVoices and Market Huddle

 


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Jason Hartman invites Joseph Wang aka The Fed Guy, to the show today. Who better to talk about the inner workings of the Federal Reserve than someone who actually worked there! Joseph Wang is a former senior trader on the open markets desk at the Federal Reserve and the author of Central Banking 101.

Jason and Joseph tackle the biggest question on everyone’s mind: will mortgage rates go higher? How much higher can they go? Why did the Fed wait so long to start quantitative tightening and raise rates? Why didn’t they do it more gradually?

Do you think Powell really thought inflation was transitory as he kept saying? It seems there was a political basis for him thinking that way, which filtered into policy and partially resulted in the huge inflation we're seeing right now. But what gives? If you don’t raise rates in order to avoid increased unemployment, then inflation will continue.

Joseph Wang also gives his take on the Fed’s response during times of economic crisis such as the Great Recession and the recent pandemic. Was it right of the Fed to get involved and stimulate the economy, or should they have let the economy and markets work themselves out?

Is the Fed part of a greater conspiracy? Is there a man behind the curtain pulling the strings? Joseph Wang tells all!

FedGuy.com

Key Takeaways:

0:28 0:44 Welcome Joseph Wang, former senior trader on the open markets desk at the Federal Reserve, author of Central Banking 101

1:33 1:49 Interest rates and mortgage backed securities

4:03 3:47 Quantitative easing - buying mortgages and treasuries, quantitative tightening - higher mortgage rates

7:21 7:05 Raising the borrowing rate above the inflation rate

9:33 9:17 Rents are going higher

11:36 11:20 Short term vs long term interest rates

12:55 12:39 Decreased labor supply and higher wages

14:33 14:17 China is the fastest aging country in the entire world

17:24 17:08 The Fed is absolutely political

21:37 21:21 Debt to GDP ratio and the dollar collapse

24:22 24:06 Why do other countries buy dollars?

27:53 27:37 Bloodbath in the cryptocurrency markets

29:53 29:37 Understanding the Fed - is there a man behind the curtain?

31:56 31:40 Was the Fed right to interfere during Covid and the Great Recession?

34:53 34:37 What is a shadow bank?

36:56 36:40 The story behind Long Term Capital Management

37:58 37:42 Economic outlook: be cautious with financial assets

39:36 39:20 Joseph Wang’s book Central Banking 101, learn more at FedGuy.com, follow Joseph on Twitter @FedGuy12

 


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Direct download: Ci_317_Joseph_Wang-_Mortgage_Rates_Will_Go_Even_HIGHER_v1.mp3
Category:general -- posted at: 1:00pm EDT

Is the World Economic Forum in Davos a serious discussion about climate change and injustice, or just a chance for billionaires to get together and do business? Find out as Jason Hartman interviews Peter S. Goodman, Global Economic Correspondent for The New York Times, as they discuss his new book, Davos Man: How the Billionaires Devoured the World.

The World Economic Forum institution was started by German economist Klaus Schwab back in the 70s, on the proposition that if you got businesses and governments together, you could solve a lot of problems. Schwab claims to be interested in public private partnerships and win-win solutions. But somewhere along the way, the WEF has become, under the guise of a nonprofit foundation, a highly lucrative enterprise. Schwab brings in heads of state from around the world to meet with billionaires, public intellectuals, a whole lot of journalists, the odd Hollywood celebrity, musicians etc. But according to Goodman, it’s a charade; they are there to do business.

The WEF 2022 recently took place last May. Peter profiles the “Davos Man” as someone who makes himself the solution where he is the problem: just allow us to do our deals, and have our conversations about how to solve the big problems of the day and we will take care of that and all of the benefits will just magically trickle down throughout society. Let’s not kid ourselves. That is something that has in reality happened zero times…

Watch the video HERE.

Key Takeaways:

0:00 Welcome Peter S. Goodman, Global Economic Correspondent for The New York Times, author of Davos Man: How the Billionaires Devoured the World

1:05 1:20 World Economic Forum conference in Davos - is this a shadow government?

3:04 3:19 Rent-seeking behavior in Davos

3:59 4:14 The WEF was started by German economist Klaus Schwab back in the 70s

5:07 5:22 A chance for the billionaire class to virtue signal

7:11 7:26 Who is the “Davos Man?”

9:30 9:45 Marc Benioff, philanthropy, Trump tax cuts and capitalism

11:53 12:08 Big companies avoid taxes by using foreign subsidiaries

16:59 17:14 Christian Smalls, Amazon warehouse worker

19:41 19:56 “Davos Man” makes himself the solution where he is the problem

24:00 24:15 Bankers get bailed out, but homeowners don’t

24:55 25:10 Healthcare system and surprise billing

29:06 29:21 Generating profit opportunities for themselves at social expense

35:11 35:26 Is Trump the “Anti-Davos Man?”

37:59 38:14 China is a complex challenge for the global trading system

43:09 43:24 China's WTO session was driven by the interests of American shareholders

44:41 44:56 Our democratic society is under threat from this inequality

46:00 46:15 We need three things: progressive taxation, antitrust enforcement and collective bargaining

46:53 46:08 Get more info at PeterSGoodman.com. Follow Peter on Twitter @petersgoodman

About Peter S. Goodman

Peter S. Goodman is the global economic correspondent for The New York Times, based in New York. He appears regularly on The Daily podcast, as well as major broadcast outlets like CNN, the BBC, Sky News, MSNBC, and Monocle Radio.

He was previously Executive Global News and Business Editor of the Huffington Post, where he oversaw award-winning investigative, international, business, and technology reporting.

 


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Housing trends are changing: people are not just staying in short term rentals anymore, they are LIVING in them! Jason Hartman interviews Rich Somers, Commercial Real Estate Investor, Co Founder/ Principle - Pac 3 Capital, founder of Fortune Cribs and host of The Multifamily Takeoff Podcast. Jason and Rich discuss how to get started in multifamily, short term rental and boutique hotel investing.

Are short term rentals a viable investment option right now? Brian Chesky, CEO of Airbnb said recently, people are not staying in short term rentals; they're LIVING in short term rentals. One other thing that has made the short term rental market do very well, are the current mass migration trends, where everybody is shuffling around and changing their lives. Post lockdown, people went to new places and lived in Airbnbs while checking out different cities and looking for permanent homes. Learn how you can profit from this new trend!

Key Takeaways:

0:00 Welcome Rich Somers, founder of Fortune Cribs

1:30 How Rich started in multifamily/short term rental investing

2:28 Cash flow in the short term rental space

3:42 Advice on syndication and raising money

5:08 Rich’s syndication model

6:01 Getting started in short term rental investing

7:14 Fortune Cribs short term rental startup

9:45 Is the short term rental market oversaturated?

11:40 Mass migration has also helped the short term rental market, but will it last?

13:15 Another investment opportunity - boutique hotels

15:12 Forcing appreciation on a short term rental

16:52 How to find these kind of deals

18:44 There will never be a perfect time to start, so get going!

19:48 Learn more at FortuneCribs.com & PAC3Capital.com

 


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Jason Hartman invites attorney Galen Hair to the Creating Wealth Show today to discuss how to make sure you are getting the most out of your insurance claim. How do you know if you should even hire an attorney to assist with your claim? A study from the Insurance Research Council revealed that on average, people who hire attorneys are likely to see a settlement three and a half times higher than people who don't hire attorneys.

What are some of the things your homeowner’s insurance policy might cover that you don't even know about and would never think to make a claim for? What should owner occupant homeowners and rental property investors know? What other additional coverage should you consider adding on to your policy that is not included, but would be available for a small fee?

About Galen M. Hair
Galen M. Hair, an aggressive and relentless litigator, is licensed in multiple states and boasts clients from around the world. With large wins both at home and across the country and an impressive record of favorable results, Mr. Hair gained a reputation for getting the job done both inside and outside the court room early on in his career.

He focuses not only on the litigation in front of the client, but the long term personal and business effects that his clients’ issues will cause. Viability is key and no small victory is worth it if the client is put in a more detrimental position. With both large firm and boutique firm experience, he combines a large firm comprehensive approach to a small firm low-cost model to achieve impressive results with minimal financial expense. His clients are family to him and it shows.

Key Takeaways:

0:00 Welcome Galen M. Hair, property casualty attorney

1:34 Hurricane Katrina laid the foundation for Galen's professional development

2:10 What is an insurance bad faith case?

3:23 Industry participants estimate that over 95% of claims are either underpaid or delayed

4:11 Galen's focus is property insurance

5:54 Insurance Research Council study on attorney effectiveness

7:20 Typical fee schedule

8:47 Many claims are weather related

9:40 Sample case study for a recent residential claim

11:27 What is a public adjuster?

13:43 Who actually reviews the insurance policy?

15:00 A public adjuster in their truest form should be bringing the claim to resolution that is favorable for you

15:53 How do you find a public adjuster?

16:44 Which states tend to have more favorable outcomes for the insured?

17:50 What are the smallest and largest claims you handle?

20:03 What if a claim seems too small to hire an attorney?

23:33 Protecting yourself during a claim and things to consider about insurance fraud

26:23 Insurance fraud can have terrible ramifications on society

27:16 What are some things that people might not know are in their homeowners insurance policies?

28:20 Additional living expense coverage can keep your family and rental properties safe

30:46 The loss of rental income and multifamily policies

32:20 What is a non admitted carrier?

33:37 Penalties and punitive damages

34:56 Statute of limitations

37:18 Find resources and learn more at InsuranceClaimHQ.com

 

 


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Jason Hartman welcomes back Brandon Hall, CEO of Hall CPA to talk about tax strategies for real estate investors. If you're a real estate investor, you really have to know the passive loss rules - you can’t afford not to! As Jason always says, taxes are the single largest expense in most people's lives, yet people spend so little time understanding the tax code and learning how they can benefit from it.

Brandon Hall shares multiple strategies and educates you on the ways you can significantly reduce and potentially even eliminate your tax bill through short term rentals and the passive activity loss rules of Section 469.

Don’t miss this SPECIAL OFFER on Brandon Hall’s Tax Smart Foundation course at JasonHartman.com/taxsmart! Start your education today and use promo code HARTMAN for 50% off!

Key Takeaways:

0:00 Welcome Brandon Hall, CEO of Hall CPA and TaxSmart Investors to talk about tax strategies for real estate investors

0:46 Taxes are the single largest expense in most people's lives

2:16 Brandon Hall, CPA, Tax Smart Foundation

3:13 Long term and short term rental tax loopholes

4:45 Section 469 of the Internal Revenue Code: passive activity loss rules

6:43 RE taxes when you sell a property

8:16 Depreciation recapture

9:03 Cash flow today that you're not paying tax on

10:14 Tax loss from your rental real estate - passive and non passive income

13:51 Most real estate is going to produce net operating income positive cash flow, while simultaneously producing a tax loss

14:30 Use your suspended tax losses from rental real estate to protect my tax benefit

16:20 Investing in short term rentals and real estate professionals

17:29 A short term rental is not a rental activity under Section 469

19:56 Top three material participation tests

21:06 Start self managing your rentals with software

22:58 Self managing is all about systems

23:43 The huge benefit of 1031 exchange

24:58 Qualifying as a real estate professional

28:46 Excess business loss rules

31:33 Bringing forward depreciation deductions through cost segregation

32:21 Losses can always offset business income or rental income

33:30 Biden tax plan

34:30 SPECIAL OFFER on Brandon Hall’s Tax Strategy Foundation course at JasonHartman.com/taxsmart! Use promo code HARTMAN for 50% off!

JasonHartman.com/TaxSmart

 


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Jason Hartman explores the latest housing market data with returning guest Dr. Lawrence Yun, Chief Economist and Senior Vice President of Research at the National Association of Realtors®.

The Federal Reserve has raised the interest rate only one time this year, yet we see how fast the mortgage rates are rising. However, if one looks at the past history, you can see that at times when the Fed aggressively raised interest rates, the mortgage rate barely budged. So is it possible that most of the mortgage rate increases this year may have already occurred? Will any further jacking up of the interest rate by the Fed necessarily have any meaningful impact on mortgage rates? According to Dr. Yun, the wildcard here is inflation and whether or not it continues to rise due to unforeseen events currently happening around the world.

Lawrence Yun is Chief Economist and oversees the Research group at the NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®. He supervises and is responsible for a wide range of research activity for the association including NAR’s Existing Home Sales statistics, Affordability Index, and Home Buyers and Sellers Profile Report. He regularly provides commentary on real estate market trends for its 1.4 million REALTORS®.

Dr. Yun received his undergraduate degree from Purdue University and earned his Ph.D. from the University of Maryland at College Park.

Key Takeaways:

0:00 Welcome returning guest Lawrence Yun, Chief Economist and Senior Vice President of Research at the National Association of Realtors

1:01 How long can this red hot housing market continue?

2:20 What does this mean for first time home buyers?

5:20 The cost burden has increased because of the home prices, but not in terms of the mortgage rate

7:46 What are the current housing inventory levels?

11:10 MLS - contingent and pending sales

12:17 Defining a balanced market

14:23 Will the market cool off with these higher rates?

15:42 Further interest rate hikes by the Fed may not have any meaningful impact on the mortgage rate

19:00 You can now buy a $1M home with an FHA loan in some areas

22:07 NARs chart on housing starts

24:14 Builders are not building entry level homes

26:47 Are we going to have a housing shortage for many, many years to come?

29:10 Boom in the home improvement industry

30:36 Possible inventory adjustment due to recent events

33:08 Job and housing market correlation

35:13 Multiple bids on rental units among renters

36:06 Do you see large investment companies continuing to buy more properties over the coming years?

38:31 There is a labor shortage across America

39:35 Increasing number of realtors

41:55 Increased home sales, increased prices but not increased ownership

 


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Contact our Investment Counselors at: www.JasonHartman.com

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Jason Hartman welcomes back Harry Dent, New York Times Bestselling author, financial writer and one of the most outspoken financial editors in America, to discuss his new book ZERO HOUR and hear his thoughts on the stock market, crypto, demographics and the current economic climate.

We have the most perverted economy in history with money being injected into the financial markets creating a bubble in stocks and financial assets which favors the rich and leaves ordinary people behind and exacerbates income inequality. Are we at the peak of this artificial stock bubble? Harry Dent answers this and much more and goes into detail about why we NEED recessions!

Key Takeaways:

0:00 Welcome Harry Dent, bestselling author and financial writer

2:11 Most perverted economy in history

3:54 Is the artificial stock bubble peaking?

5:13 Greatest debt bubble in history

7:51 Imminent stock market crash

10:22 Harry's take on cryptocurrencies

13:18 Generational demographics and government policies

18:39 Why we need recessions

21:33 When is the next crash?

22:05 Once in a lifetime peak of a major stock market bubble

24:18 S&P 500 about to fall apart

27:25 Is gold a safe haven? What about bonds? Real estate?

27:57 Peter Schiff and deflation

33:59 $540 trillion in financial assets globally

37:47 The Cantillon Effect - the rich are getting richer

39:04 Most critical time in your lifetime for financial markets

40:30 Learn more at HarryDent.com

41:32 Real estate bubble?

 


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Jason Hartman’s Extra YouTube Channel

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It takes a lifetime to build trust, and a minute to lose it. Jason Hartman welcomes Todd Duncan, author, speaker and the world’s leading authority on trust! People thrive on trust and the bigger the financial decision, the more trust is necessary. How can you create that?

Todd also reminds us that nobody gets a paycheck for being busy! Managing your time and mindset, especially during difficult times is essential. When you orient your mind around goodness, gratitude, joy and the fact that you get another day, happiness and success are the byproducts.

THE WORLD'S LEADING AUTHORITY ON TRUST

Todd Duncan is an American author and speaker. According to CNN, Todd Duncan is “the Tony Robbins of the mortgage industry.” He is the author of 17 books, including the New York Times Bestsellers Time Traps: Proven Strategies for Swamped Sales People and High Trust Selling: Make More Money In Less Time with Less Stress.

ToddDuncan.com

Key Takeaways:

0:00 Welcome Todd Duncan - Author, Speaker and the World's Leading Authority on Trust

1:54 If you don't connect, you can't convert - high trust selling

2:53 Conversational productivity and building trust - ask questions you've never asked

8:28 What the research says about establishing trust

9:40 Managing your time and scaling connections

11:42 Marketing Rebellion by Mark Schaefer

13:14 Flipping houses vs buy and hold

15:03 Choosing the right business relationships

16:47 When you become commoditized, you have no pricing power

18:40 Time management and the myth of multitasking

21:43 What is vital vs what is urgent

22:22 Stephen Covey and reinventing your entire business productivity

23:54 What you do versus who you are

26:08 Financial success and mental health

30:14 Orient your mind around goodness, gratitude and joy

32:55 Validating from the inside

33:51 The right attitude for tough times

35:44 Having perspective during difficult times

37:42The importance of mentors

39:44 Using fear to your advantage

41:07 Learn more at ToddDuncan.com

 


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Jason’s TV Clips in Vimeo

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Special Offer from Ron LeGrand: JasonHartman.com/Ron

What do Jason’s clients say? JasonHartmanTestimonials.com

Contact our Investment Counselors at: www.JasonHartman.com

Watch, subscribe and comment on Jason’s videos on his official YouTube channel: YouTube.com/c/JasonHartmanRealEstate/videos

Guided Visualization for Investors: JasonHartman.com/visualization

Jason’s videos in his other sites:

JasonHartman.com/Rumble

JasonHartman.com/Bitchute

JasonHartman.com/Odysee

Jason Hartman’s Extra YouTube Channel

Jason Hartman’s Real Estate News and Technology (RENT) YouTube Channel


Jason Hartman welcomes Steven Pesavento, founder of VonFinch Capital to talk about his 5 Success Principles of the Investor Mindset! Steven developed these principles after studying, interviewing and understanding hundreds of successful investors, entrepreneurs and thought leaders. Steven and Jason both share their origin stories, how they got started in real estate and the most important founding principles and lessons they’ve learned along the way.

Key Takeaways:

0:00 Welcome Steven Pesavento, founder of VonFinch Capital

1:31 What are your 5 Success Principles of the Investor Mindset and how did you develop them?

2:34 Principles came from studying and understanding and interviewing hundreds of successful investors, entrepreneurs and thought leaders

4:21 Viewing challenges as opportunities

5:44 Richard Branson changed the industry

7:43 Be ultra focused and operate from one specific asset class

10:23 Success principles 3 & 4 - finding clarity

11:44 Making money in real estate

13:35 Focus is key

15:31 Fifth principle for success

17:43 Investing in yourself

20:01 Aligning yourself with the right principles

22:05 Are mastermind groups worth it?

 


Follow Jason on TWITTER, INSTAGRAM & LINKEDIN
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Learn More: JasonHartman.com

Get wholesale real estate deals for investment or build a great business – Free course: JasonHartman.com/Deals

Free White Paper on The Hartman Comparison Index™: HartmanIndex.com/white-paper

Free Report on Pandemic Investing: PandemicInvesting.com

Jason’s TV Clips in Vimeo

Free Class: CYA Protect Your Assets, Save Taxes & Estate Planning: JasonHartman.com/Protect

Special Offer from Ron LeGrand: JasonHartman.com/Ron

What do Jason’s clients say? JasonHartmanTestimonials.com

Contact our Investment Counselors at: www.JasonHartman.com

Watch, subscribe and comment on Jason’s videos on his official YouTube channel: YouTube.com/c/JasonHartmanRealEstate/videos

Guided Visualization for Investors: JasonHartman.com/visualization

Jason’s videos in his other sites:

JasonHartman.com/Rumble

JasonHartman.com/Bitchute

JasonHartman.com/Odysee

Jason Hartman’s Extra YouTube Channel

Jason Hartman’s Real Estate News and Technology (RENT) YouTube Channel

Direct download: CI_309_5_Investor_Success_Principles_with_Steven_Pesavento_v1.mp3
Category:general -- posted at: 3:17pm EDT

Jason Hartman interviews Jeff Snider, Chief Investment Strategist and Head of Global Research at Alhambra Investment Partners. Consumer prices and asset markets have created the illusion of a red hot economy, but according to Jeff, the bond market has been telling us what's been wrong since 2008. Jeff shares with us some incredible data that shakes up traditional thinking and gives us his insights on the Federal Reserve, interest rate hikes, monetary policy and money printing and the correlation between the yield curve and treasury markets.

Jeff also gives an in depth explanation of the hidden monetary system running the world. Even though most people have probably never heard the term Eurodollar, it has undertaken the functions of the global reserve currency and it did so a very long time ago as an ​​offshore currency market. The Eurodollar was developed on its own without government or individual private effort outside of every country's regulatory regime.

Key Takeaways:

0:45 Welcome Jeff Snider, ​​head of Global Research for Alhambra Investments

1:28 What is the Eurodollar?

4:02 Reserve currency system

7:01 Significance of the Eurodollar

9:10 Influence of the Eurodollar on interest rates

10:08 The Treasury market actually sets most credit rates around the world

11:45 High rates and tightening - Alan Greenspan

13:45 Seeing what the Treasury yields are reflecting to understand what will happen next

16:09 Yield curve inversion

17:33 Alan Greenspan and “irrational exuberance”

20:45 You can’t keep track of money, so why bother trying?

21:40 Jeff Snider’s outlook on inflation

24:18 Milton Friedman’s interest rate fallacy

26:55 The Fed vs the Eurodollar system

28:39 Jerome Powell and the Fed interest rate hikes

31:27 Is consumer price inflation transitory?

32:29 What’s to come in this massively overheated real estate market?

34:26 The flattening of the yield curve says the Treasury market is resisting higher rates

36:18 Consumer prices and asset markets have created this illusion of a red hot economy

37:55 Today’s real estate market

39:48 The Gig Economy

41:52 Overreaction recession in 2020 did a lot of long term economic harm

44:52 Find Jeff Snider’s research on his blog at

Alhambrapartners.com and check out his Eurodollar University Podcast

 


 
Follow Jason on TWITTER, INSTAGRAM & LINKEDIN
 
 

Get wholesale real estate deals for investment or build a great business
 – Free course: JasonHartman.com/Deals
 

Free White Paper on The Hartman Comparison Index™:
 https://www.hartmanindex.com/white-paper

 

Free Report on Pandemic Investing: https://www.PandemicInvesting.com

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Free Class: CYA Protect Your Assets, Save Taxes & Estate Planning: http://JasonHartman.com/Protect

Special Offer from Ron LeGrand:  https://JasonHartman.com/Ron

What do Jason’s clients say?  http://JasonHartmanTestimonials.com

Contact our Investment Counselors at: www.JasonHartman.com

Watch, subscribe and comment on Jason’s videos on his official YouTube channel: YouTube.com/c/JasonHartmanRealEstate/videos

Guided Visualization for Investors: JasonHartman.com/visualization

Jason’s videos in his other sites:

JasonHartman.com/Rumble

JasonHartman.com/Bitchute

JasonHartman.com/Odysee

 
 
Real Estate News and Technology: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCPSy…

 


Jason Hartman welcomes Simon Caron, the Uneducated Economist, who quite frankly, is a lot more educated than many economists out there! With a background in the lumber industry and his direct work in sales at a lumberyard, Simon's research comes from real world, real life experience as he deals firsthand with the current building material and lumber shortage logistical nightmare on a daily basis.

He reports that lead time for a lot of building materials is now three months and discusses the Cantillon Effect, worsening inequality and the crisis builders are facing just to get their projects completed. Builders are having to order supplies before they even have a permit, putting the cart before the horse! Simon also encourages you to pay close attention to debt (especially corporate debt), rising interest rates and central bank digital currencies.

UneducatedEconomist.com "Welcome to the Uneducated Economist, the place where street level thoughts and conversations take place covering all things macroeconomics. I have never taken an economics course, nor was I raised with that being a common topic of discussion. When the great financial crisis hit in 2007, I found myself very confused by the collapse of the economy. What started off as curiosity, grew to a hobby, and has now become an obsession. Studying the economy, the cause and effects of monetary and fiscal policy is difficult to understand - to say the least. As The Uneducated Economist I take complex economic issues and break them down so anyone can understand and have a conversation about."

Watch the video HERE.

0:45 Welcome Simon Caron, the Uneducated Economist - the logistical nightmare behind the current lumber shortage

4:46 Builders need to order supplies before they even have a permit which puts the cart before the horse

5:54 If building material costs keep going up, how can home prices stabilize?

8:21 Widening gap between housing starts and housing completions

10:29 Windows are to houses as semiconductor chips are to automotives

12:21 Simon Caron explains the Cantillon Effect

15:10 The Cantillon Effect leads to wealth transfer and poverty

17:36 How will this building and construction issue play out over the next 1-2 years?

20:19 The Fed has lost control over inflation

22:58 California's supply chain problems and shortages

23:40 Decline in the standard of living

27:19 Pay attention to debt (especially corporate debt), rising interest rates and central bank digital currencies

30:09 Moving away from the Dollar as a reserve currency

31:15 The good, the bad, and the ugly about central bank digital currencies

32:52 Central bank digital currencies and universal basic income are inextricably connected

35:07 It's become burdensome to use cash

37:54 Find Simon Caron on YouTube, Instagram and UneducatedEconomist.com

 


 
Follow Jason on TWITTER, INSTAGRAM & LINKEDIN
 
 

Get wholesale real estate deals for investment or build a great business
 – Free course: JasonHartman.com/Deals

 

Free Report on Pandemic Investing: https://www.PandemicInvesting.com

Jason’s TV Clips: https://vimeo.com/549444172

Free Class: CYA Protect Your Assets, Save Taxes & Estate Planning: http://JasonHartman.com/Protect

Special Offer from Ron LeGrand:  https://JasonHartman.com/Ron

What do Jason’s clients say?  http://JasonHartmanTestimonials.com

Contact our Investment Counselors at: www.JasonHartman.com

Watch, subscribe and comment on Jason’s videos on his official YouTube channel: YouTube.com/c/JasonHartmanRealEstate/videos

Guided Visualization for Investors: JasonHartman.com/visualization

Jason’s videos in his other sites:

JasonHartman.com/Rumble

JasonHartman.com/Bitchute

JasonHartman.com/Odysee

 
 
Real Estate News and Technology: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCPSy…

Jason Hartman welcomes a special guest today, the mysterious and brilliant Doomberg, to discuss if the story of 2022 could be a food inflation and food shortage crisis born directly from the energy crisis that we're seeing today. Jason and Doomberg take on this ongoing train wreck energy crisis we're living through and discuss how China's response to the energy crisis that started in Europe is creating even more supply chain issues. The cost of energy is embedded into every product and service, and Doomberg demonstrates how this energy crisis is going to feed into substantial price shocks in the food space. Just consider how the price of fertilizer has recently skyrocketed! These increases will hit the poor and the lower middle classes of the economic spectrum the hardest, but they offer some possible solutions for uncertain times ahead. "Doomberg is the anonymous publishing arm of a bespoke consulting firm providing advisory services to family offices and c-suite executives. Its principals apply their decades of experience across heavy industry, private equity and finance to deliver innovative thinking and clarity to complex problems."

Get Doomberg's latest articles: https://doomberg.substack.com/

Twitter: https://twitter.com/DoombergT

Key Takeaways:

0:45 Food supply crisis coming our way? Scary food shortages ahead?

1:16 What can we expect in 2022?

2:57 If you choke off the energy supply, you're deciding who lives and dies

4:30 Consequences of the anti fossil fuel movement

7:03 Liquid natural gas (LNG) prices are skyrocketing

9:13 Aluminum alloys, magnesium and the automotive industry

12:29 "America's Energy Strategy is Bonkers" - shutting down of the Keystone Pipeline and the national moratorium on drilling

13:54 Beholden to Vladimir Putin for supplying gas, Europe is one violent cold snap away from political uprising

15:02 The price of fertilizer has skyrocketed in the US leading to massive price spikes in food

16:30 "Starvation Diet" and inflationary food prices

19:11 Should we prepare for the worst? What can we do to prepare?

23:38 Increase the working capital of your home; being prepared is not selfish, it's responsible

27:14 Generators for emergency times

30:49 Economic and financial action steps for tough times ahead

 


Free Class:  Easily get up to $250,000 in funding for real estate, business or anything else http://JasonHartman.com/Fund

Free Report on Pandemic Investing: https://www.PandemicInvesting.com

Jason’s TV Clips: https://vimeo.com/549444172

Free Class: CYA Protect Your Assets, Save Taxes & Estate Planning: http://JasonHartman.com/Protect

Special Offer from Ron LeGrand:  https://JasonHartman.com/Ron

What do Jason’s clients say?  http://JasonHartmanTestimonials.com

Contact our Investment Counselors at: www.JasonHartman.com

Watch, subscribe and comment on Jason’s videos on his official YouTube channel: YouTube.com/c/JasonHartmanRealEstate/videos

Free white paper on the Hartman Comparison Index™

Guided Visualization for Investors: JasonHartman.com/visualization

Jason’s videos in his other sites:

JasonHartman.com/Rumble

JasonHartman.com/Bitchute

JasonHartman.com/Odysee

 

Direct download: 306_Commercial_Investing_-_Doomberg_v1.mp3
Category:general -- posted at: 4:36am EDT

What happens when the money supply is expanding more than ever, the government is more indebted than it's ever been and interest rates are at the lowest they've ever been? Find out with Jason Hartman and the founder of Heresy Financial, Joseph Brown as they discuss this and much more!

We are seeing the largest monetary expansion in US history which has triggered some very high inflation numbers. The last two years have given the government an excuse to start monetizing a ton of government debt by printing money. This is a top down financing tool for redirecting purchasing power, instead of creating new purchasing power, and leads to a misallocation of resources due to the unlimited purchasing power at the top. This misallocation causes the destruction of wealth and will eventually lead to financial repression. And so, the question is not a matter of if the Federal Reserve will spark a crash, but the question is when and how much before they reverse course.

Follow Joseph Brown, founder of Heresy Financial on Twitter: https://twitter.com/heresyfinancial?s=20

Watch the video HERE.

Key Takeaways:

0:34 Welcome Joseph Brown, founder of Heresy Financial

1:22 The Federal Reserve, tapering and rising interest rates

3:30 Injecting cash into the repo market to prevent a systemic financial collapse

4:25 Bureaucrat malevolence or incompetence?

5:55 Quantitative easing infinity, monetizing government debt

7:25 The Federal Reserve is under pressure to get inflation under control

8:20 What will happen when the Fed raises interest rates in 2022?

9:15 Not if, but when will the Fed spark an economic crash?

9:36 Will investors still want to buy real estate with higher interest rates?

12:25 Why the real estate market is different this time

14:25 Every bailout costs more and more

16:15 Long and short term interest rates and the yield curve

18:30 Stimulus checks, universal basic income, and a central bank digital currency

21:23 The Federal Reserve has become more political

22:55 A central bank digital currency is complete financial repression

24:15 Joe Brown's 2022 economic predictions

25:50 Effects of hyperinflation

28:19 People with the power will always make the decision that is most beneficial to them

28:51 Debt-to-GDP ratio and monetized debt

33:05 We have an inflationary monetary system

34:30 Follow Joseph Brown on YouTube and Twitter at Heresy Financial

 

 


The WEALTH TRANSFER is happening FAST! Protect your financial future now! Did you know that 25% to 40% of all dollars ever created were dumped into the economy last year???  This will be devastating to some and an opportunity to others, be sure you’re on the right side of this massive wealth transfer. Learn from our experiences, maximize your ROI and avoid regrets.

Watch, subscribe and comment on Jason’s videos on his official YouTube channel: YouTube.com/c/JasonHartmanRealEstate/videos

Free Mini-Book on Pandemic Investing: PandemicInvesting.com

Jason’s TV Clips: Vimeo.com/549444172 

CYA Protect Your Assets, Save Taxes & Estate Planning: JasonHartman.com/Protect

What do Jason’s clients say?: JasonHartmanTestimonials.com

Free Class:  Easily get up to $250,000 in funding for real estate, business or anything else:  JasonHartman.com/Fund

Call our Investment Counselors at: 1-800-HARTMAN (US) or visit JasonHartman.com

Free white paper on the Hartman Comparison Index™ 

Guided Visualization for Investors: JasonHartman.com/visualization

Jason’s videos in his other sites:

JasonHartman.com/Rumble

JasonHartman.com/Bitchute

JasonHartman.com/Odysee

Direct download: 305_CI_Joe_Brown_Heresy_Financial_v1.mp3
Category:general -- posted at: 2:00pm EDT

Jason Hartman discusses today's economic boom or bust and real estate trends with a very special guest and absolute wealth of knowledge, Dr. Vikram Mansharamani. He talks about identifying bubbles in various markets, and whether or not real estate should continue to be a profitable play over the long run. Dr. Mansharamani gives his outlook on other asset classes, such as Bitcoin and precious metals and encourages you to take control of your financial decisions.

"Dr. Vikram Mansharamani is a global trend-watcher who shows people how to anticipate the future, manage risk, and spot opportunities. He is the author of the recently-released THINK FOR YOURSELF: Restoring Common Sense in an Age of Experts and Artificial Intelligence and BOOMBUSTOLOGY: Spotting Financial Bubbles Before They Burst. He has been a frequent commentator on issues driving disruption in the global business environment. Vikram’s ideas and writings have also appeared in Bloomberg, Fortune, Forbes, The New York Times and a long list of other publications. LinkedIn twice listed him as their #1 Top Voice for Money, Finance and Global Economics and Worth has profiled him as one of the 100 most powerful people in global finance. Millions of readers have enjoyed his unique multi-lens approach to connecting seemingly irrelevant dots."

Watch the video HERE.

Key Takeaways:

0:00 Welcome Dr. Vikram Mansharamani, global trend watcher, Harvard lecturer and author: his five lenses to help identify bubble territory and economic boom or bust

5:25 Cultural dynamic and consensus herd behavior

6:57 The million dollar question - are we in a bubble?

9:47 Rise and fall of various asset classes, inflation and interest rates

11:34 What about precious metals?

14:29 Real estate markets and inversely directional interest rates

16:49 Inflation vs deflation - technology is the most powerful deflationary force

19:31 The world's largest economies all have aging demographics

21:23 The role of immigration and technology in advancing societies and the long term demographic implications of social media

24:12 Residential and other real estate segment risk through industry modernization

26:19 Dr. Mansharamani's outlook on the stock market

30:17 Passive investing bubble and index investing logic

36:15 Retirement accounts are a ticking time bomb

37:56 Labor market and shortages

39:29 Bitcoin, boom or bust?

43:50 In an age of technology and experts, we've stopped thinking for ourselves

44:59 Read Dr. Mansharamani's articles at www.Mansharamani.com

 


The WEALTH TRANSFER is happening FAST! Protect your financial future now! Did you know that 25% to 40% of all dollars ever created were dumped into the economy last year???  This will be devastating to some and an opportunity to others, be sure you’re on the right side of this massive wealth transfer. Learn from our experiences, maximize your ROI and avoid regrets.

Watch, subscribe and comment on Jason’s videos on his official YouTube channel: YouTube.com/c/JasonHartmanRealEstate/videos

Free Mini-Book on Pandemic Investing: PandemicInvesting.com

Jason’s TV Clips: Vimeo.com/549444172 

CYA Protect Your Assets, Save Taxes & Estate Planning: JasonHartman.com/Protect

What do Jason’s clients say?: JasonHartmanTestimonials.com

Free Class:  Easily get up to $250,000 in funding for real estate, business or anything else:  JasonHartman.com/Fund

Call our Investment Counselors at: 1-800-HARTMAN (US) or visit JasonHartman.com

Free white paper on the Hartman Comparison Index™ 

Guided Visualization for Investors: JasonHartman.com/visualization

Jason’s videos in his other sites:

JasonHartman.com/Rumble

JasonHartman.com/Bitchute

JasonHartman.com/Odysee

 

Direct download: 305_CI__STR_CW_CC_AMA_AIPIS_-_Boombustology_by_Vikram_Mansharamani_v1.mp3
Category:general -- posted at: 2:00pm EDT

Pay attention to the news not being reported! In the midst of all the chaos in Ukraine, Jason encourages you to take action against the FED using his patented Inflation Induced Debt Destruction! Also, save the date- April 1 and 2, 2022 for the Jason Hartman University virtual event! More details to come!

And today, Jason welcomes geopolitical expert Peter Zeihan to the show today to discuss the ongoing war between Russia and Ukraine. 

Peter discusses Putin’s motivations, Russia’s demographics and energy exports and if the response from the West will be enough to stop this conflict. What are the short and long term economic and agricultural implications of the Russian invasion? Peter and Jason discuss Russia’s army and nuclear weapons, NATO and America’s involvement. 

All royalties from Peter’s book sales between March 1 - May 31 will go to Ukrainian charities to help with medical needs of the refugees and the people who decided to stay behind. www.Zeihan.com 

Key Takeaways:

Jason's editorial

1:16 Pay attention to the news not reported

5:17 Payback against the FED

7:17 Save the Date: April 1 & 2, 2022: The JHU Virtual Event

9:13 Thanks to Starlink, Ukraine will be joining us as well

Interview with Peter Zeihan

12:05 Three major thrusts in Russia’s war against Ukraine: Belarus, continuing attacks on Kiev, southern front

14:13 Partisan conflict guerrillas

15:57 Argument that Russia doesn’t want Ukraine in NATO doesn’t hold water

19:26 Putin’s endgame and will sanctions be effective? 

21:48 Can Russia afford this war? Russia’s current economic reality

24:27 Is Putin just a desperate tyrant who wants to leave a legacy? And will the US intervene directly?

26:40 Response from NATO; Russia is seeking a multi step expansion 

28:38 Most of the Russian soldiers are draftees

29:41 China and Taiwan conflict and the economic and agricultural implications: widespread famine

34:14 Oil and gas

36:29 Royalties from Peter’s books will go to Ukrainian charities - www.Zeihan.com

 

ABOUT PETER ZEIHAN:

Peter Zeihan is a geopolitical strategist and the founder of the consulting firm Zeihan on Geopolitics. His new book is THE END OF THE WORLD IS JUST THE BEGINNING:

Mapping the Collapse of Globalization (Harper Business; on-sale: June 14, 2022). His clients include energy corporations, financial institutions, business associations, agricultural interests, universities, and the U.S. military. He is the critically acclaimed author of The Accidental Superpower, The Absent Superpower, and Disunited Nations, which have been recommended by Mitt Romney, Fareed Zakaria, and Ian Bremmer. Peter is also a highly sought-after public speaker. He lives in Colorado. For more on Peter Zeihan, visit: https://zeihan.com/. Follow him on Twitter: @PeterZeihan

 


The WEALTH TRANSFER is happening FAST! Protect your financial future now! Did you know that 25% to 40% of all dollars ever created were dumped into the economy last year???  This will be devastating to some and an opportunity to others, be sure you’re on the right side of this massive wealth transfer. Learn from our experiences, maximize your ROI and avoid regrets.

Watch, subscribe and comment on Jason’s videos on his official YouTube channel: YouTube.com/c/JasonHartmanRealEstate/videos

Free Mini-Book on Pandemic Investing: PandemicInvesting.com

Jason’s TV Clips: Vimeo.com/549444172 

CYA Protect Your Assets, Save Taxes & Estate Planning: JasonHartman.com/Protect

What do Jason’s clients say?: JasonHartmanTestimonials.com

Free Class:  Easily get up to $250,000 in funding for real estate, business or anything else:  JasonHartman.com/Fund

Call our Investment Counselors at: 1-800-HARTMAN (US) or visit JasonHartman.com

Free white paper on the Hartman Comparison Index™ 

Guided Visualization for Investors: JasonHartman.com/visualization

Jason’s videos in his other sites:

JasonHartman.com/Rumble

JasonHartman.com/Bitchute

JasonHartman.com/Odysee

 

Direct download: 304_CI-_Russias_New_World_Order_Peter_Zeihan_v1.mp3
Category:general -- posted at: 1:31pm EDT

Join Jason today as he welcomes Dr. Peter McCullough, MD. Dr. McCullough has over 50 peer-reviewed papers and is an extremely credible person in the medical field.

You can also watch the video NOT on YouTube (having been censored) but on Jason’s other video sites:

JasonHartman.com/Rumble

JasonHartman.com/Bitchute

JasonHartman.com/Odysee

After receiving a bachelor’s degree from Baylor University, Dr. McCullough completed his medical degree as an Alpha Omega Alpha graduate from the University of Texas Southwestern Medical School. He went on to complete his internal medicine residency at the University of Washington, cardiology fellowship including service as Chief Fellow at William Beaumont Hospital, and master’s degree in public health at the University of Michigan. Dr. McCullough is a practicing internist, cardiologist, epidemiologist in Dallas Texas and the Chief Medical Advisor of the Truth for Health Foundation.

Listen in to hear another side of this whole pandemic/vaccine debacle and discover what you can do to protect your liberties!

Follow Dr. Peter McCullough, MD at Twitter @P_McCulloughMD and listen to his podcast America Out Loud: The McCullough Report

1:28 Who is Dr. McCullough

3:33 Misinformation and censorship

5:08 Booster concerns and the vaccine numbers tell the story

6:28 Why the misinformation?

6:58 Data, death and deception- is there any end in sight?

9:11 What is truly important

12:03 A collapsing house of cards

13:50 Numbers are grossly under-reported

18:18 Data: The vaccines are causing great harm

21:33 World Council for Health and post vaccine issues

24:16 Inflammation and post vaccine metrics

26:41 Fertility side effects, tin foil hats and dating sites

30:55 Fracturing of decisions- the wall begins to crumble

34:19 Vaccines don’t work

 


The WEALTH TRANSFER is happening FAST! Protect your financial future now! Did you know that 25% to 40% of all dollars ever created were dumped into the economy last year???  This will be devastating to some and an opportunity to others, be sure you’re on the right side of this massive wealth transfer. Learn from our experiences, maximize your ROI and avoid regrets.

Watch, subscribe and comment on Jason’s videos on his official YouTube channel: YouTube.com/c/JasonHartmanRealEstate/videos

Free Mini-Book on Pandemic Investing: PandemicInvesting.com

Jason’s TV Clips: Vimeo.com/549444172 

CYA Protect Your Assets, Save Taxes & Estate Planning: JasonHartman.com/Protect

What do Jason’s clients say?: JasonHartmanTestimonials.com

Free Class:  Easily get up to $250,000 in funding for real estate, business or anything else:  JasonHartman.com/Fund

Call our Investment Counselors at: 1-800-HARTMAN (US) or visit JasonHartman.com

Free white paper on the Hartman Comparison Index™ 

Guided Visualization for Investors: JasonHartman.com/visualization

Jason’s videos in his other sites:

JasonHartman.com/Rumble

JasonHartman.com/Bitchute

JasonHartman.com/Odysee

Direct download: 303_CI__JS_WIN_HI_ALL_SHOWS_-_Dr._Peter_McCullough_MD_v1.mp3
Category:general -- posted at: 10:49am EDT

Paul Moore from Wellings Capital is your host again today on Commercial Investing and he shares the multiple benefits of mobile home park investing. Some of America’s most successful investors, such as Sam Zell and Warren Buffet, are in the mobile home park business as investors, builders and financiers. 

The benefit to you as an investor or operator in acquiring a mobile home park includes many opportunities to increase value. Paul reveals that collections during the pandemic were surprisingly good compared to a lot of other assets because of the partnership between parks and tenants. Did you know that mobile home parks have very low tenant turnover? Paul shares surprising statistics which show that 93-98% of mobile homes stay exactly where they were originally planted. It's a great supply and demand situation for mobile home park owners, so get involved now! 

Key Takeaways:

[0:46] Why Paul Moore loves mobile home park investing 

[1:39] How Paul got started in 1977

[2:40] America's most successful real estate investor, Sam Zell

[4:04] Blackstone owns well over a billion dollars of mobile home parks

[6:04] Mobile home parks are recession resistant

[9:18] Affordable housing crisis 

[10:47] Low tenant turnover

[12:19] Low maintenance and capital expenses

Mentions:

JasonHartman.com

WellingsCapital.com

Mobile Home Park Investing Report: wellingscapital.com/resources

Tweetables: 

Live where we want to and invest where it makes sense. - Robert Helms 


The Commercial Investing Podcast welcomes back Paul Moore, founder and managing partner of Wellings Capital, to discuss seven paths to get involved with commercial real estate. Paul shares great advice and diverse ways to enter into this sector, whether you are just starting out, or already involved in residential real estate. 

Key Takeaways:

[1:10] Seven paths to commercial real estate investing

[2:23] How Paul Moore got into commercial real estate

[3:06] Path #1 The long and winding road

[5:03] Path #2 Baptism by fire: Going on your own

[7:01] Path #3 Become a deal finder/maker

[10:49] Path #4 Be a capital development specialist (raise money)

[15:06] Path #5 Get a job in the commercial real estate sector

[17:30] Path #6 Passive investing

[22:23] Path #7 Find a mentor

 

Mentions:

Watch Jason's video "How to Analyze a Real Estate Investment and Read a Pro Forma"

JasonHartman.com

WellingsCapital.com

Brian Burke: The Hands Off Investor

 

Paul Moore’s Latest Book:

Storing Up Profits: Capitalize on America's Obsession with STUFF by Investing in Self-Storage

 

Direct download: 300_CI_Paul_Moore_Seven_Paths_to_Commercial_Real_Estate_Investing_v1.mp3
Category:general -- posted at: 4:00pm EDT

1